Green Business Index falls to 100.7 in Q4 2025, driven by a 19-point drop in forestry.

Timberlands

Sweden’s forestry sector sees sharpest decline since 2020 as overall agricultural confidence weakens

Sweden’s forestry sector sees sharpest decline since 2020 as overall agricultural confidence weakens

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Sweden’s Green Business Index declined in the fourth quarter of 2025 as forestry and crop farming weakened, according to data from the Federation of Swedish Farmers (LRF). The total index fell to 100.7 from 106.5 in the previous quarter, marking a broad slowdown across several agricultural industries.

The forestry subindex recorded the largest fall, dropping by 19 points to 97.6, its lowest level since spring 2020. The decline reflects weaker export demand, lower prices for sawn wood and pulp, and a soft U.S. dollar that reduced export revenues. New tariffs on Swedish wood products to the United States and a slower global economy further limited profitability. LRF reports that sawmills and pulp producers have experienced tightening margins, while forest owners face lower returns and are reducing harvesting activity.

Data show that the area registered for final felling fell by 8% in September and 4% in October compared with the same months in 2024, signaling reduced operations in Sweden’s forests. The Federation attributes the decline partly to uncertainty over new restrictions on forest use, which has weakened business confidence.