Model results show higher EU and UK production, lower U.S. Southeast prices, and larger trade changes than production changes after the rules take effect.
Competition
The measure covers CN code 4412 39 00, takes effect Thursday, and excludes one Brazilian exporter found not dumping.
Commerce preliminarily sets combined duties at 25%, but the current 35% rate stays in effect until a final determination.
Preliminary results cover 2024 and include partial rescissions for withdrawn requests and no-shipment firms.
Preliminary duties of up to nearly 200% already apply to imports as investigation enters final phase.
The reviews will begin March 9, 2026, and will cover 2025 shipments of Canadian softwood lumber and Chinese hardwood plywood and wooden bedroom furniture.
Commerce issues a preliminary critical-circumstances finding; CBP to collect cash deposits on covered entries starting Monday.
The initiation is part of a broader notice covering multiple December-anniversary AD and CVD orders.
The European Commission ordered the registration under its anti-subsidy investigation launched on 7 November 2025, so that any countervailing duties can be collected retroactively on registered imports if legal conditions are met.
The order directs Federal agencies to block Wall Street purchases of single-family homes, defines investor categories within 30 days, and requires $200 billion in mortgage-backed security purchases to lower rates.
Industry associations report that about 7% of companies may exit the market in 2026 as costs rise and profitability declines
Commission sets 5.4% duty rate after investigation confirms dumped imports caused material injury to Union industry.